Monday, August 2, 2021

Trump banks $102 million — CBC chooses sides in OH-11 — Giuliani’s uphill climb

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By Stephanie Murray

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Quick Fix

— Former President Donald Trump has $102 million in the bank across his political committees, and other mid-year filing takeaways.

— The Congressional Black Caucus' endorsement in Tuesday's OH-11 special election primary has raised the stakes for the group — and the younger liberals trying to push the Democratic Party to the left.

— New York Republican Andrew Giuliani is campaigning across the state in his longshot bid for governor, rather than rely on his family's famous last name.

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Days until the OH-11 and OH-15 special election primaries: 1

Days until the California recall: 43

Days until the New Jersey and Virginia gubernatorial elections and OH-11 and OH-15 special elections: 92

Days until the 2022 midterm elections: 463

Days until the 2024 election: 1,195

 

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TopLine

THE CASH DASH — We got our first look at Trump's post-presidential fundraising operation when semi-annual filings were due to the FEC over the weekend. Here are a few big takeaways. (The reports cover Jan. 1-June 31).

Trump's $102 million: Trump's political committees reported raising and transferring a combined $82 million in the first half of the year and have $102 million on hand, as he endorses in high-profile midterm elections and considers a 2024 presidential bid. The former president has far more in the bank than any other Republican, showing the strength of his donor base.

"The scenario is virtually unprecedented: Never in history has a former president banked nine figures' worth of donations to power a political operation," POLITICO's Alex Isenstadt and Meridith McGraw wrote. Trump raises cash through several groups which include his Save America leadership PAC, his presidential campaign account which was converted to the Make America Great Again PAC and a joint fundraising outfit that sends its money to the other two groups.

Trump's recent spending: Trump's Make America Great Again Action super PAC has spent four times as much in tomorrow's OH-15 special election than it did in TX-06. Trump-endorsed Susan Wright lost the Texas runoff to fellow Republican Jake Ellzey last week, even after Trump's group spent $100,000 to support her campaign. Now, the former president has spent more than $400,000 to boost Trump-backed Ohio Republican Mike Carey and try to prevent an embarrassing loss. Plus, The Washington Post's Isaac Stanley-Becker and David Fahrenthold point out Trump has spent thousands in political funds at his own properties.

Where online donors are giving: Donations that flowed through ActBlue and WinRed, the digital fundraising platforms, gave us a sense of which candidates are the strongest when it comes to raising money online. On the Republican side, Trump's committees dominated WinRed with $34.4 million in donations, outraising the NRSC, NRCC and RNC on the platform. Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.) was the top individual recipient. Scott raised $7.8 million in the first half of the year, according to WinRed's filing. Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.) and former Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.), who was ousted five days into 2021, were the other top Republicans. Among Democrats, the top ActBlue candidate recipients (after the major committees) were Sens. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) and Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) and Rep. Val Demings (D-Fla.), who is running for Senate in Florida.

Down the Ballot

JUST SPECIAL — The Congressional Black Caucus' entry into the OH-11 special election primary is reigniting ideological tensions among Black Democrats. The caucus is supporting Shontel Brown, who backers like House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn say demonstrates "basic, good respect," compared to Turner, a vocal ally of Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). But Turner's supporters say the CBC endorsement sends a message to progressives that they are not welcome in the party, POLITICO's Ally Mutnick, Maya King and Heather Caygle wrote. Tuesday's election is viewed as a bellwether for the Democratic Party ahead of the 2022 midterms.

THE EMPIRE STATE — Giuliani is criss-crossing the state in his longshot bid for governor, POLITICO's Bill Mahoney wrote. Rep. Lee Zeldin (R-N.Y.) is the frontrunner in the race to take on Demcoratic Gov. Andrew Cuomo, if he seeks another term. Still, Giuliani is traveling from New York City to more rural parts of the state to campaign. "All evidence suggests he's putting real energy into his campaign and not simply resting on his family name as a lot of people in New York political circles assumed he might when he launched this spring," Bill wrote.

POLL POSITION — More than a quarter of Democratic voters are still undecided in the primary race to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings (D-Fla.), according to a poll from Data For Progress . The primary is set for Nov. 2. According to the poll, Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness leads the primary field with 17 percent of support, followed by Broward County Commissioner Barbara Sharief, who has 14 percent of support. Ten percent of voters support state Rep. Omari Handy. Data For Progress said in a memo that Handy is "the most viable progressive candidate" in the race because the Palm Beach County candidate has some support (4 percent) from Broward County voters. The poll surveyed 314 likely Democratic primary special election voters July 6-7 using SMS.

Speaking of the primary, Florida Democrat Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick has given her congressional campaign $2.3 million, The Sun Sentinel's Anthony Man reported, and is considering giving herself another $1 million. There are eight Democrats running in the primary to succeed Hastings. It's not quite clear how wealthy Cherfilus-McCormick is, or where her fortune came from. She is the CEO of Trinity Health Care Services, but has not filed the financial disclosures required of candidates.

THE BUCKEYE STATE — Ohio Democrat Nan Whaley, who is running for governor, raised more than $1.6 million in the first half of the year, according to her campaign. Whaley is the mayor of Dayton, and has $1.35 million in cash on hand for her bid to take on GOP Gov. Mike DeWine. Cincinnati Mayor John Cranley is also running in the Democratic primary.

NOTABLE FLOATABLES — Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin hinted at a Senate campaign against Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) late last month during an interview, Right Wing Watch reported. "If God wants me to do it, I will," Palin said, according to a video posted by the Harvest International Ministry . Palin said she had "never heard of" Republican Kelly Tshibaka, who is already running against Murkowski and was endorsed by Trump.

JUST PEACHY — Senate Republicans are urging football star Herschel Walker to take a pass on challenging Warnock in favor of a more experienced candidate with less baggage, POLITICO's Marianne LeVine and Burgess Everett report. Republicans are wary of old allegations regarding Walker's marriage and business dealings that have surfaced ahead of his campaign. Trump has encouraged Walker, his longtime friend, to run for Senate.

"Some of it's pretty bad, obviously: physical abuse and pulling a gun on his wife, if that's true," Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) told Marianne and Burgess. "I want to win that race. And to the extent that he's handicapped by some of these things that would make that unlikely, I'd prefer to have somebody else."

— Speaking of Georgia, Republicans are moving ahead in their push to take over elections in heavily Democratic Fulton County, The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's Greg Bluestein and Ben Brasch report. State lawmakers sent a letter on Friday requesting a full review of the county's election management. Republicans have for years been critical of the way the county runs elections, although the 2020 election Senate runoffs at the beginning of this year went smoothly.

— Plus, Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp can raise unlimited amounts of cash for his reelection bid, thanks to a provision in the new elections bill he signed into law earlier this year. Kemp is the first statewide candidate to set up a leadership fund, which recently became legal, according to The Atlanta Journal-Constitution's James Salzer. Leadership committees aren't subject to the same contribution limits that candidates are, which say donors can give a maximum $14,000 per candidate for statewide elections.

THE PROCESS — Philadelphia election officials rejected a push for a forensic audit of the 2020 election from Trump ally state Sen. Doug Mastriano, The Philadelphia Inquirer's Andrew Seidman reported. Mastriano, who is expected to run for governor, had requested election-related materials from several Pennsylvania counties through his perch on a key legislative committee. In a letter, Philadelphia's board of elections and all three city commissioners said the city's elections are "fair and secure" and warned it would cost tens of millions of dollars to comply with Mastriano's request.

THE GRANITE STATE — Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.) sidestepped a question about Republican Gov. Chris Sununu's potential campaign against her during a TV interview that aired Sunday. Hassan was asked by WCVB if she had any advice for Sununu if he runs for Senate. "Gov. Sununu will make his own decision. I've been pleased that we've been able to work constructively on issues like responding to the pandemic. My job right now is listening to the people of the Granite State," Hassan responded. Sununu has said he will not decide whether to challenge Hassan until the fall or winter, although recent polling shows it would be a tight race.

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 
Presidential Big Board

FLORIDA MEN — Trump and Gov. Ron DeSantis both live in Florida, but if they want to run together in 2024, one might have to move. A little-known provision in the Constitution discourages a presidential candidate and their running mate to hail from the same state, the Tampa Bay Times' Steve Contorno reports. The 12th Amendment advises that a state's members of the Electoral College cannot vote for both a president and vice president who are from the same state, meaning the GOP would be ceding Florida's 30 electoral votes. "The provision is a throwback to the early days of the republic, when the country's leaders were wary that the American government — still mostly a collection of independently governed states — could cede too much authority to one state," Contorno wrote.

CODA — QUOTE OF THE DAY — "I got the Florida variant. I got the freedom variant. It affects the brain." — Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.)

 

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